Usomaqhinga wemakethe uthe isignali evela ku-Federal Reserve yokuthi amanani enzalo azokwehliswa ngo-2024 idale umfutho onempilo emakethe yegolide, okuzoholela ekutheni amanani egolide afinyelele eqophelweni eliphezulu onyakeni omusha.
UGeorge Milling Stanley, oyiChief Gold Strategist kwaDow Jones Global Investment Consulting, uthe nakuba amanani egolide esanda kuphakama, sisesikhulu isikhala sokukhula kwemakethe.
Uthe, “Uma igolide lidlondlobala, akekho owaziyo ukuthi lizokwenyuka kangakanani, futhi ngonyaka ozayo kungenzeka sibone ukuphakama okuyingqophamlando.”
Nakuba uMilling Stanley enethemba ngegolide, wengeze ngokuthi akalindele ukuthi amanani egolide agqashuke esikhathini esifushane. Uveze ukuthi nakuba iFederal Reserve inethemba lokwehlisa inzalo ngonyaka ozayo, umbuzo usamile ukuthi uzoyikhipha nini inhlamvu. Wengeze ngokuthi esikhathini esifushane, izindaba zesikhathi kufanele zigcine amanani egolide engaphakathi kwebanga lamanje.
Esibikezelweni esisemthethweni sika-Dow Jones, ithimba lika-Milling Stanley likholelwa ukuthi kukhona amathuba angu-50% okuhweba ngegolide phakathi kuka-$1950 no-$2200 iwunsi ngayinye ngonyaka ozayo. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, inkampani ikholelwa ukuthi amathuba okuhweba ngegolide phakathi kuka-$2200 no-$2400 nge-ounce ngayinye angama-30%. UDao Fu ukholelwa ukuthi ithuba lokuhweba ngegolide phakathi kuka-$1800 no-$1950 iwunsi ngayinye kungamaphesenti angama-20 kuphela.
UMilling Stanley uthe impilo yomnotho izonquma ukuthi intengo yegolide izokhuphuka kangakanani.
Uthe, “Umuzwa wami wukuthi sizodlula enkathini yokukhula ngaphansi kwesimo esijwayelekile, okungenzeka kube nokuwohloka komnotho. Kodwa kanye nakho, ngokwamamethrikhi akhethwa yi-Fed, kungase kube khona ukwehla kwamandla emali okunamathelayo. Lesi kuzoba yindawo enhle yokwenza igolide.” "Uma kuba nokuwohloka okukhulu komnotho, kuzovela izizathu zethu ezisebenzayo."
Yize kulindeleke ukuthi amandla akhuphukayo egolide azoheha abatshalizimali abasha, uMilling Stanley uthe ukwesekwa kwegolide kwesikhathi eside kukhombisa ukuthi ukunyuka kwamanani egolide kuzoqhubeka ngo-2024.
Uthe lezi zingxabano ezimbili eziqhubekayo zizogcina indawo ephephile yokuthenga igolide. Wengeze ngokuthi unyaka wokhetho ongaqinisekile futhi “omubi” nawo uzokwandisa ukukhanga kwegolide endaweni ephephile. Uphinde wathi isidingo esikhulayo esivela eNdiya nakwezinye izimakethe ezisafufusa sizohlinzeka ngokusekelwa kwegolide elibonakalayo.
Ukuthengwa okwengeziwe kwegolide ngamabhange amakhulu amazwe ahlukahlukene kuzokwengeza ukushintshwa kwemodeli entsha ezimakethe.
Wathi, “Kunengqondo ukuthatha inzuzo lapho amanani egolide edlula u-$2000 iwunsi ngayinye eminyakeni emihlanu edlule, futhi ngicabanga ukuthi lokho ngokwengxenye kungani intengo yegolide ngezinye izikhathi ingase yehle ngaphansi kuka-$2000 ngonyaka ozayo. Kodwa ngesinye isikhathi, ngisakholelwa ukuthi amanani egolide azoma aqine ngaphezu kuka-$2000.” “Iminyaka engu-14, ibhange lombuso belilokhu lithenga u-10% kuya ku-20% wezidingo zonyaka. Noma nini lapho kuba nezimpawu zobuthakathaka emananini egolide, lokhu kuwukwesekwa okukhulu, futhi ngilindele ukuthi lesi simo siqhubeke iminyaka eminingi.”
UMilling Stanley uthe ulindele ukuthi noma yikuphi ukudayiswa okubalulekile kwegolide kuthengwe ngokushesha uma kuqhathaniswa nokungaqiniseki kwezomnotho emhlabeni wonke kanye nezinxushunxushu zezwe.
Uthe, “Ngokombono womlando, ukuzibophezela kwegolide kubatshalizimali bekulokhu kunesimo esimbaxambili. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, hhayi minyaka yonke, kodwa ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, igolide lingasiza ekwandiseni imbuyiselo yephothifoliyo yokutshalwa kwezimali elinganiselwe ngokufanelekile. Noma nini, igolide lizonciphisa ubungozi kanye nokuntengantenga kuphothifoliyo yokutshalwa kwezimali elinganiswe ngokufanelekile.” "Ngilindele lokhu kuzibophezela okubili kokubuyisela nokuvikela ukuheha abatshalizimali abasha ngo-2024."
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-15-2023
